В момента е: Пет Мар 29, 2024 6:46 am

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Global Macro

Ето един метод да се предиди #рецесия обаче: да се следят продажбите на мъжки слипове  Very Happy

Не звучи сериозно, но Алън Грийнспан го е ползвал.  afro

Bloomberg написа:Former Fed Chair Alan #Greenspan used to keep tabs on men’s underwear sales. People buy this basic item year-round but put off new purchases in a severe downturn. Sales growth for menswear overall slowed in 2022 and is expected to remain constrained over the near term, according to Euromonitor. Beer and lipstick also have been cited as predictors of past recessions.


#macro #forecasting
by Money
on Сря Яну 25, 2023 12:46 pm
 
Search in: Investing & Trading
Тема: Global Macro
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Global Macro

Пак по темата за макро превижданията. Катя Димитриева от Блумбърг...  


Bloomberg's Katia Dmitrieva написа:Economists, who have had some noteworthy misses on inflation and GDP in recent years, are the first to admit that forecasting the timing of a downturn is practically impossible. That’s despite a wealth of government and private data, including a slew of new high-frequency measures ushered in by the pandemic. The exercise is more akin to putting together the pieces of a puzzle, with each economic indicator filling in part of an image.


https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-25/how-close-is-the-us-to-recession-why-experts-are-struggling-to-predict-it?srnd=premium&sref=vuYGislZ#xj4y7vzkg

#macro #forecasting
by Money
on Сря Яну 25, 2023 12:41 pm
 
Search in: Investing & Trading
Тема: Global Macro
Отговори: 296
Видяна: 5014

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