Суровини и ресурсни компании

Bloomberg написа:Even in the long-term, the oil majors’ will struggle to relive the glory years of the late-2000s, data showed. Dividends and buybacks for the group are forecast to reach $83.6 billion in 2026, almost 50% higher than this year, but significantly below the $100 billion average annual payouts from 2006 through 2008.

Bloomberg написа:
China’s State Grid Says Power Supply Back to Normal: Xinhua

State Grid Corp. of China said power supply and demand in its areas of operation have returned to normal and the electricity gap has been significantly reduced, Xinhua reported.

The thermal coal inventory in the company’s operating area has rebounded to 99.3 million tons and the available days of thermal coal supply has climbed to 20, the report said, citing spokesperson Meng Haijun.

Bloomberg написа:China’s daily coal output has risen by more than 1 million tons in recent weeks to 11.67 million tons and will likely surpass a government target for production of 12 million tons a day. The ramp-up is exceeding expectations, and meaningfully reducing a supply deficit, Morgan Stanley analysts including Sara Chan said in research notes this week.


Coal inventories at India’s power stations rose to 11.2 million tons on Tuesday from a low last month of 7.2 million tons. Major industrial consumers, who had coal supply limited as authorities prioritized power stations, are also seeing conditions improve.

[...]

“Power shortages have been easing,” said Michelle Leung, an analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence. “Everyone is ramping up their coal production. The speed has been quite impressive.”

CNBC написа:
Jefferies upgrades Alcoa to buy, says aluminum stock can jump 28%

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/02/jefferies-upgrades-alcoa-to-buy-says-aluminum-stock-can-jump-28percent.html

Jules Verne, the father of science fiction, imagined a society powered by hydrogen back in the 19th century. The idea of the element as a clean fuel has won a harder-headed adherent in Jim Radcliffe. His business Ineos, which produces chemicals and refines oil, has a €2bn plan to expand into hydrogen. Since Ineos owns six private jets the UK entrepreneur may be seeking a distraction from his company’s own carbon emissions.

Ineos’s focus will be on “green” hydrogen, made by splitting the gas from oxygen in water using renewable energy. This has promise for decarbonising industry. It could not only supplant hydrocarbons as a portable and storable fuel, it could also be used for steelmaking.

Money (Admin) написа:Обаче при газа може също да има един вид супер-цикъл и в това има логика: газът като преходна суровина към един енергийно по-зелен свят. А проблемът е кой от тук нататък ще инвестира в газова инфраструктура при положение, че след 7-8 години тя вече може и да не е нужна. Май държавите ще трябва да дават и газови субсидии.

Benigni projected that natural gas is going to be at “very, very lofty highs” until 2025 and the spikes are not a “short-term phenomenon.”
“We are going to see that this market is under a lot of stress. As we talk right now, the prices are very hot in the pre-winter, and this is because of a lot of anxiety,” he said.

Benigni projected that natural gas is going to be at “very, very lofty highs” until 2025 and the spikes are not a “short-term phenomenon.”
“We are going to see that this market is under a lot of stress. As we talk right now, the prices are very hot in the pre-winter, and this is because of a lot of anxiety,” he said.

pipbel написа:И с това съгласен. Бая търсене ще има в близките не години, а десетилетия дори. Междувременно даже и в богатите държави инфраструктурата почва се амортизирва, а е нужна друга и за новите ВЕ алтернативи, а и ЕВ.
Алуминия - да, дори и само за рамките на соларите , ама не само той.
Медта, кобалта, никела, молибдена, графита, лития...при всички тях ще има повишено търсене.

В тая връзка е добре да помислим кои точно компании най добре съчетават гореизброените та да пооблажим от тях в по дългосрочен план.
Още повече че поне аз съм беден откъм експозиция към такива ( като затворих изцяло psx само едно VLO остана, макар и на 2ра позиция вече след последните ръстове след нвидията), т.е. чисто инд.метални нямам хич и мога спокойно да добавям.

pipbel написа:И това сме го изтървали...Х 5 е скокнало от преди 1.5г
Не че не може и х 15-20

https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=REMX&ty=c&ta=0&p=w

Money написа:Изпуснали сме Алкоа (AA). В първите месеци на 2021 като се загавори за рефлейшън трейд и за суровините, писах в investor-а, че повечето суровини ще скочат и после ще паднат, но че супер-цикълът ще е при индустриалните метали. Само дето не идентифицирах кои. А то всъщност алуминият е доста очевиден залог. Леко ме е яд сега.